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It takes a lot of time, research, knowledge, testing, and even sleepless nights.
Betting on smaller leagues presents two challenges: liquidity and rapid line movement.
Unfortunately, many novice bettors view sports betting as a sport rather than an investment market, targeting big markets like the NFL because they love the game and believe they "know" the league.
5 – 6 pts spread diff = 1.
Over the years, I've worked on developing a successful NHL betting model.
NFL is considered one of the sharpest markets out there
The results of my CBB model in Google Sheets were based on 1,008 analyzed games and various discrepancies:
In reality, a successful bettor only needs one or two leagues or bet types where they can gain an edge and generate profits.
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